Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.089804 1.310007 1.586824 1.969831 2.502344 3.244053 4.411379e+00
2026-02-01 0.812756 1.067906 1.437131 2.046380 3.113445 5.131822 1.009628e+01
2026-02-08 0.651294 0.902454 1.299154 2.036693 3.575636 7.397670 2.321788e+01
2026-02-15 0.542784 0.778685 1.173854 1.973708 3.885445 9.940426 5.747857e+01
2026-02-22 0.485397 0.719564 1.134725 2.050541 4.590100 15.547403 3.608155e+02
2026-03-01 0.434617 0.659842 1.076315 2.058314 5.140761 23.181280 2.554971e+07
2026-03-08 0.389069 0.600747 1.004174 2.003581 5.462426 32.295911 NaN
2026-03-15 0.355204 0.557183 0.953283 1.982810 5.921333 48.952170 NaN
2026-03-22 0.340623 0.546749 0.968433 2.148012 7.468532 130.688584 NaN
2026-03-29 0.322820 0.527302 0.959462 2.241465 8.914232 445.439851 NaN
2026-04-05 0.301555 0.498157 0.922600 2.232360 9.788233 1916.652626 NaN
2026-04-12 0.280041 0.466051 0.873304 2.163781 10.168498 17197.858736 NaN
2026-04-19 0.265510 0.447083 0.853649 2.198847 11.651860 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.254893 0.435074 0.849252 2.292613 14.218237 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.241176 0.415020 0.821014 2.281960 15.725608 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.226593 0.391742 0.780958 2.207953 16.232437 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.219188 0.383277 0.778776 2.298467 20.114288 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.209775 0.369487 0.760032 2.307642 22.879650 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.199006 0.351798 0.728146 2.243138 23.789100 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.190324 0.338127 0.705839 2.218694 25.947428 NaN NaN
2026-06-14 0.188104 0.338841 0.724489 2.413635 38.655411 NaN NaN
2026-06-21 0.183669 0.334044 0.726395 2.524426 52.749226 NaN NaN
2026-06-28 0.176828 0.323091 0.708345 2.513616 60.786705 NaN NaN